Will Web services become a threat to EAI vendors?

Do you think Web services will become a threat to EAI vendors?
I think we are living in the same type of transition that took place in the late 1980's with respect to typesetting. At that time there were both dedicated word processors, like Lanier and Wang, as well as dedicated typesetting terminals, such as AM Varityper and Compugraphic. By the early 1990's most typography and paste up art was being done on PC's with programs such as PageMaker and Quark -- at a fraction of the cost of the dedicated systems. While it is unclear which vendors and which products will survive the transition from EAI to Web Services, it should be utterly plain that the days of selling proprietary message brokers for hundreds of thousands of dollars have gone the way of the Spice Girls. The proof is in the market. Many of the high flying EAI stocks from that time period are in danger of being delisted.
This was last published in August 2002

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